Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 14/10, 09:00
Prediction: Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Jorge Plans · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Jorge Plans
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jorge Plans
6-4 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jorge Plans 1502 · Sergey Petrov 1520
| Jorge Plans | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sergey Petrov dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jorge Plans | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.3 | 10.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jorge Plans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Oskari Eerola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Louis Larue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Walid Ahouda M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Paul Jubb M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 51% to Sergey Petrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.