Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 14/10, 09:00

Prediction: Justine Bretnacher vs Simona Cucu

Team pages: Justine Bretnacher · Simona Cucu

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Justine Bretnacher Simona Cucu
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Justine Bretnacher 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWW
Simona Cucu 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Justine Bretnacher 1446 · Simona Cucu 1496
Justine BretnacherSimona Cucu
Our model43%57%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simona Cucu (rating 1446 vs 1496).
  • Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Justine BretnacherSimona Cucu
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51-1.4
Games (G-P)7.1-10.47.9-10.6
Aces0.50.2
Double faults5.62.5
1st serve %49.7%49.7%
Break %45.6%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Justine Bretnacher

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Alessia Marinescu
W15 Chisinau
2-0 13-8 W
05/10 Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez
W15 Chisinau
1-2 11-12 L
28/09 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
0-2 3-12 L
27/09 Carmelle Vial
W35 Reims
2-0 12-4 W
15/09 Kateryna Diatlova
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Lara Wagner
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
25/08 Saumya Ronde
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 11-8 W
05/08 Klara Veldman
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 4-12 L

Simona Cucu

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Sophie Williams
W15 Chisinau
2-1 14-13 W
23/09 Sonja Zhenikhova
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/09 Bianca Maria Mihaila
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-1 11-8 W
09/09 Alesia Breaz
W15 Campulung
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Ana Cristiana Mocanu
W15 Campulung
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Ashley Lahey
W15 Brasov
0-2 3-12 L
25/08 Ana Maria Brotea
W15 Brasov
2-1 9-11 W
21/07 Alexia Iulia Marginean
W15 Cluj Napoca
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Alessia Marinescu
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Justine Bretnacher vs Simona Cucu?

Our model gives 56% to Simona Cucu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.