Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 16/10, 09:00

Prediction: Arina Gamretkaia vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas

Team pages: Arina Gamretkaia · Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas

Prediction summary
Winner
20% 80%
Arina Gamretkaia Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Gamretkaia 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWW
Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arina Gamretkaia 1485 · Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas 1619
Arina GamretkaiaFelitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
Our model32%68%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas (rating 1485 vs 1619).
  • Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Arina GamretkaiaFelitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
Win %50%90%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) –
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.9-0.4
Games (G-P)11-12.213.2-5.7
Aces0.30.4
Double faults1.71.1
1st serve %64%65.1%
Break %66%62.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arina Gamretkaia

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Chisinau
2-0 13-9 W
14/10 Iana Semichina
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Maria Valentina Pop
W15 Chisinau
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Didi Bredberg Canizares
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
25/09 Nikola Hlavata
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
1-2 12-19 L
24/09 Julita Saner
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Leandra Nizetic
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
21/09 Lara Nodis
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
05/09 Maja Radenkovic
UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
04/09 Helena Muzinic
UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Defne Cirpanli
W15 Chisinau
2-1 16-10 W
14/10 Mirjana Jovanovic
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-4 W
11/10 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-3 W
10/10 Aurora Corvi
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-2 W
09/10 Maria Valentina Pop
W15 Chisinau
2-1 16-10 W
08/10 Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-1 W
07/10 Delia Gaillard
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-3 W
03/10 Sonja Zhenikhova
W15 Varna
1-2 16-17 L
02/10 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Varna
2-0 12-5 W
01/10 Darya Velikova
W15 Varna
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arina Gamretkaia vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas?

Our model gives 80% to Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.