Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 16/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher
Team pages: Sara Victoria Balan · Sophie Luescher
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Victoria Balan
Sophie Luescher
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Victoria Balan
4-6 (W-L)
Sophie Luescher
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Victoria Balan
0–1
Sophie Luescher
(1 last)
- 06 Oct1-2 19-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Victoria Balan 1501 · Sophie Luescher 1585
| Sara Victoria Balan | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1501 vs 1585).
- Sophie Luescher is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sara Victoria Balan 0–1 Sophie Luescher (1).
Statistics
| Sara Victoria Balan | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.9 | 12.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 69.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Sara Victoria Balan 0 – 1 Sophie Luescher (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Victoria Balan 0–1 Sophie Luescher
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 W15 Chisinau | 1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Victoria Balan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Anastasiia Nikolaieva W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Carolina Kuhl W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 25/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Juliana Singeorzan W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Anastasia Safta W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Maria Golovina W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Sophie Luescher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Melinda Biro W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Nala Kovacic W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Meline Lataste W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aurora Zurmuehle W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Patricia Ordonez Anduiza W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher?
Our model gives 56% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.