Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 16/10, 10:00
Prediction: Kristina Kroitor vs Justine Bretnacher
Team pages: Kristina Kroitor · Justine Bretnacher
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Kroitor
Justine Bretnacher
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Kroitor
6-4 (W-L)
Justine Bretnacher
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Kroitor 1542 · Justine Bretnacher 1493
| Kristina Kroitor | Justine Bretnacher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Kroitor (rating 1542 vs 1493).
- Kristina Kroitor is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Kroitor | Justine Bretnacher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 7.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 61% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Kroitor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Ines Faltinger W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sophia Biolay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Ellie Daniels W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Florentine Dekkers W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexia Trasca W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Justine Bretnacher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Simona Cucu W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Alessia Marinescu W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Salma Djoubri W35 Reims |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Carmelle Vial W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Lara Wagner W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Kroitor vs Justine Bretnacher?
Our model gives 76% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.