Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 14/10, 08:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · Mathieu Scaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
Mathieu Scaglia
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
4-6 (W-L)
Mathieu Scaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1472 · Mathieu Scaglia 1495
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.1 | 12.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Junxiong Dong M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mathieu Scaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/09 | Amit Vales Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Our model gives 51% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.