Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 13/10, 08:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Liuyan An
Team pages: Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Liuyan An
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Liuyan An
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1491 · Liuyan An 1362
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Liuyan An | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Ovcharenko (rating 1491 vs 1362).
- Ekaterina Ovcharenko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Liuyan An | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 0% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 5.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 49.3% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Tori Kinard W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Liuyan An
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Varvara Panshina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Honori Koyama W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sijia Wei W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Rira Kosaka W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Reina Goto W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Maria Kalyakina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Liuyan An?
Our model gives 78% to Ekaterina Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.