Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 14/10, 04:00
Prediction: Arina Varaksina vs Shiho Tsujioka
Team pages: Shiho Tsujioka
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Varaksina
Shiho Tsujioka
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Varaksina
4-6 (W-L)
Shiho Tsujioka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Varaksina 1491 · Shiho Tsujioka 1444
| Arina Varaksina | Shiho Tsujioka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Varaksina (rating 1491 vs 1444).
- Note: Arina Varaksina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Arina Varaksina | Shiho Tsujioka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 9-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 52.2% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Varaksina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Ha Eum Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Meiqi Guo W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Eunchae Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Eun Ji Lee W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Ya-Hsuan Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Yuna Yang W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Sihyeong Cho W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Shiho Tsujioka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mao Mushika W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 28/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Giselle Isabella Guillen W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kanon Sawashiro W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Varaksina vs Shiho Tsujioka?
Our model gives 53% to Shiho Tsujioka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.