Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 14/10, 04:00
Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Adithya Karunaratne
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Adithya Karunaratne
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Adithya Karunaratne
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
7-3 (W-L)
Adithya Karunaratne
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1560 · Adithya Karunaratne 1573
| Tiana Tian Deng | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.7 | 12.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Sera Nishimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Yuna Sugiyama W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Kolie Allen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rina Saigo W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Kali Supova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Adithya Karunaratne?
Our model gives 60% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.