Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 12/10, 21:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
5-5 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
3–0
Thiago Cigarran
(3 last)
- 18 Jul2-0 13-9W
- 12 Mar2-0 9-6W
- 28 Jun2-1 17-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1534 · Thiago Cigarran 1512
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3–0 Thiago Cigarran (3).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.8 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3 – 0 Thiago Cigarran (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3–0 Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 M15 Villa Constitucion | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/03/26 M15 La Plata | 2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 28/06/21 M15 Antalya | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Wilson Leite Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Milani Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Boris Arias Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Anders Matta Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Santiago Pesino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Karim Bennani M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 28/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 63% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.