Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 12/10, 20:00
Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Wilson Leite
Team pages: Hernan Casanova · Wilson Leite
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Wilson Leite
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
4-6 (W-L)
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hernan Casanova
5–0
Wilson Leite
(5 last)
- 04 Oct2-1 15-13W
- 30 Oct2-1 18-13W
- 27 Apr2-0 12-4W
- 20 Aug2-0 13-6W
- 26 Apr2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1479 · Wilson Leite 1461
| Hernan Casanova | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova 5–0 Wilson Leite (5).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.1 | 10.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Hernan Casanova 5 – 0 Wilson Leite (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hernan Casanova 5–0 Wilson Leite
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/26 Challenger Antofagasta | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/10/25 ITF M25 Lajeado | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/04/25 Challenger Porto Alegre | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08/22 M25 Koksijde | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/04/21 Challenger Salinas 2 | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Wilson Leite
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Luis Britto Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Justin Roberts Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jose Pereira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Gabriel Roveri Sidney M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Wilson Leite?
Our model gives 66% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.