Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 12/10, 10:30

Prediction: Alessia Marinescu vs Justine Bretnacher

Team pages: Alessia Marinescu · Justine Bretnacher

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Alessia Marinescu Justine Bretnacher
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alessia Marinescu 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLWL
Justine Bretnacher 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alessia Marinescu 1464 · Justine Bretnacher 1440
Alessia MarinescuJustine Bretnacher
Our model53%47%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Alessia MarinescuJustine Bretnacher
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.7-1.5
Games (G-P)8.4-10.17.1-10.3
Aces0.20.4
Double faults2.75.4
1st serve %54%51%
Break %51%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alessia Marinescu

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Yelizaveta Trush
W15 Chisinau
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Andreea Prisacariu
W15 Brasov
1-2 9-15 L
26/08 Angelica Raggi
W15 Brasov
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa
W15 Brasov
0-2 4-12 L
22/06 Simona Cucu
W15 Galati · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
18/06 Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
17/06 Nada Fouad
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Sofia Maria Barbulescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
14/05 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
13/05 Maria Adelina Anghelus
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Justine Bretnacher

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez
W15 Chisinau
1-2 11-12 L
28/09 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
0-2 3-12 L
27/09 Carmelle Vial
W35 Reims
2-0 12-4 W
15/09 Kateryna Diatlova
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Lara Wagner
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
25/08 Saumya Ronde
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 11-8 W
05/08 Klara Veldman
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Anet Angelika Koskel
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alessia Marinescu vs Justine Bretnacher?

Our model gives 50% to Alessia Marinescu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.