Tennis · Challenger Maia · 12/10, 13:30
Prediction: Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh
Team pages: Milos Karol · Oleksii Krutykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Milos Karol
Oleksii Krutykh
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Milos Karol
5-5 (W-L)
Oleksii Krutykh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milos Karol 1521 · Oleksii Krutykh 1556
| Milos Karol | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Milos Karol dominates on serve: 11 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Note: Milos Karol makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Milos Karol | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.8 | 13.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 11 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milos Karol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Diogo Marques Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Melios Efstathiou Davis Cup |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Our model gives 57% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.