Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 12/10, 11:30
Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Moritz Hoffmann
Team pages: Julien Penzlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Julien Penzlin
Moritz Hoffmann
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin
4-6 (W-L)
Moritz Hoffmann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1495 · Moritz Hoffmann 1552
| Julien Penzlin | Moritz Hoffmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moritz Hoffmann (rating 1495 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Julien Penzlin | Moritz Hoffmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.1 | 10.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Emile Hudd M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mac Visser M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Moritz Hoffmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Arian Hasas M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Arian Barbic M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Tom-Felix Fusenig M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Finn Hopfe M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/01 | Louis Wessels M15 Cadolzburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/01 | Jonas Pelle Hartenstein M15 Cadolzburg |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Hazem Naw ITF M15 Offenbach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Lenn Stueckrath ITF M15 Offenbach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Moritz Hoffmann?
Our model gives 57% to Julien Penzlin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.