Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Arian Barbic vs Leonardo Rossi
Team pages: Arian Barbic · Leonardo Rossi
Prediction summary
Winner
Arian Barbic
Leonardo Rossi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Arian Barbic
5-5 (W-L)
Leonardo Rossi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arian Barbic
0–1
Leonardo Rossi
(1 last)
- 01 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arian Barbic 1457 · Leonardo Rossi 1532
| Arian Barbic | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1457 vs 1532).
- Head-to-head: Arian Barbic 0–1 Leonardo Rossi (1).
Statistics
| Arian Barbic | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.1 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Arian Barbic 0 – 1 Leonardo Rossi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arian Barbic 0–1 Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M25 Marburg | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arian Barbic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Moritz Hoffmann M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 20/09 | Romeo Nobili M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Antoine Walch M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/08 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Julian Werner M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 05/08 | Martins Rocens M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mathys Domenc M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Liam Branger M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arian Barbic vs Leonardo Rossi?
Our model gives 75% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.