Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly
Team pages: Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannik Kelm
Pierre Yves Bailly
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yannik Kelm
7-3 (W-L)
Pierre Yves Bailly
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannik Kelm 1552 · Pierre Yves Bailly 1577
| Yannik Kelm | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yannik Kelm | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.8 | 9.9-7.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 52% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Pierre Yves Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 04/02 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/01 | Moise Kouame M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/01 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 16/01 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/01 | Maxence Beauge M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/01 | Romain Faucon M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 09/01 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Maxence Bertimon M25 Hazebrouck |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/01 | Arsene Pougault M25 Hazebrouck |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly?
Our model gives 60% to Pierre Yves Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.