Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 12/10, 14:30
Prediction: Phil Dungs vs Flynn Thomas
Team pages: Flynn Thomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Phil Dungs
Flynn Thomas
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Phil Dungs
5-5 (W-L)
Flynn Thomas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Phil Dungs 1485 · Flynn Thomas 1541
| Phil Dungs | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flynn Thomas (rating 1485 vs 1541).
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Phil Dungs | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.6 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Phil Dungs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Jose Murariu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Daniel Bien UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Simon Pfau UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Dornbusch UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Cian Maguire UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Stefan Seifert M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Damien Clerc M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Hernan Casanova M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Phil Dungs vs Flynn Thomas?
Our model gives 71% to Flynn Thomas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.