Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 16:00
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1497 · Hugo Dellien 1558
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1497 vs 1558).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.3 | 12.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Moez Echargui US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 75% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.