Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 16:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1499 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1566
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1499 vs 1566).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.4 | 10-8.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 71% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 55% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.