Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 16:00
Prediction: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
Team pages: Francisco Comesana · Nick Hardt
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Comesana
Nick Hardt
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Comesana
5-5 (W-L)
Nick Hardt
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Comesana
2–1
Nick Hardt
(3 last)
- 01 Aug2-1 18-15W
- 02 Oct2-1 13-13W
- 03 May0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1466 · Nick Hardt 1467
| Francisco Comesana | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francisco Comesana dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Comesana 2–1 Nick Hardt (3).
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.7 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-14.8 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Francisco Comesana 2 – 1 Nick Hardt (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Comesana 2–1 Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/24 Challenger San Marino | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/10/23 Challenger Campinas | 2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 03/05/22 Challenger Salvador De Bahia | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt?
Our model gives 66% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.