Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 16:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Juan Estevez
Team pages: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Juan Estevez
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Juan Estevez
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
7-3 (W-L)
Juan Estevez
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
1–0
Juan Estevez
(1 last)
- 23 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1561 · Juan Estevez 1422
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (rating 1561 vs 1422).
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1–0 Juan Estevez (1).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10 | 11.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1 – 0 Juan Estevez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1–0 Juan Estevez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/23 M15 Sao Paulo | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Juan Estevez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/08 | Alex Bergomi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Juan Estevez?
Our model gives 71% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.