Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 11/10, 21:00
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Santiago De La Fuente
Team pages: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · Santiago De La Fuente
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
10-0 (W-L)
Santiago De La Fuente
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
0–1
Santiago De La Fuente
(1 last)
- 16 Jun1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1558 · Santiago De La Fuente 1507
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1558 vs 1507).
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–1 Santiago De La Fuente (1).
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.6 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0 – 1 Santiago De La Fuente (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–1 Santiago De La Fuente
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Challenger Asuncion | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Gabriel Schenekenberg Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Augusto Scheidt Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Belem |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Bojicic Ono M15 Belem |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Santiago De La Fuente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Boris Arias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Corey Craig M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Our model gives 59% to Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.