Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 11/10, 18:00
Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Samuel Heredia
Team pages: Federico Zeballos · Samuel Heredia
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Zeballos
Samuel Heredia
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Zeballos
2-8 (W-L)
Samuel Heredia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1444 · Samuel Heredia 1457
| Federico Zeballos | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Zeballos | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12.3 | 9.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 8.7% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Zeballos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Andres Urrea Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/03 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Samuel Heredia?
Our model gives 60% to Samuel Heredia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.