Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1533 · Luka Mikrut 1581
| Tiago Pereira | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1533 vs 1581).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.9 | 12.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 69% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.