Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
Team pages: Pol Martin Tiffon · Francisco Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Pol Martin Tiffon
Francisco Rocha
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pol Martin Tiffon
5-5 (W-L)
Francisco Rocha
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pol Martin Tiffon 1487 · Francisco Rocha 1442
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pol Martin Tiffon (rating 1487 vs 1442).
- Note: Pol Martin Tiffon makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.2 | 8.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pol Martin Tiffon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Francisco Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Lui Maxted Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha?
Our model gives 70% to Pol Martin Tiffon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.