Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1475 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1558
| Tristan Boyer | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1475 vs 1558).
- Alejandro Moro Canas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 12.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 30/09 | David Naharro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 57% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.