Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
5-5 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elmer Moller
0–2
Lukas Neumayer
(2 last)
- 04 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 06 Jan1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1532 · Lukas Neumayer 1563
| Elmer Moller | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elmer Moller 0–2 Lukas Neumayer (2).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.2 | 12.3-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Elmer Moller 0 – 2 Lukas Neumayer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elmer Moller 0–2 Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/25 Challenger Menorca | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01/25 Australian Open | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Iliyan Radulov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 56% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.