Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Pedro Martinez · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1526 · Matej Dodig 1598
| Pedro Martinez | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1526 vs 1598).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.1 | 13.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 22/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Zverev Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 65% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.