Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Thiago Monteiro
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
3-7 (W-L)
Thiago Monteiro
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Trungelliti
2–3
Thiago Monteiro
(5 last)
- 19 Sept1-2 13-15L
- 12 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 16 Apr2-0 14-12W
- 16 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 21 Sept0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1505 · Thiago Monteiro 1534
| Marco Trungelliti | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marco Trungelliti 2–3 Thiago Monteiro (5).
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-15.2 | 13.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
H2H · Marco Trungelliti 2 – 3 Thiago Monteiro (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Trungelliti 2–3 Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Challenger Szczecin | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07/23 Challenger Salzburg | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/04/22 Challenger Madrid | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09/21 Challenger Szczecin | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09/18 Challenger Biella | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Juncheng Shang US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 20-25 | W |
Thiago Monteiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model gives 51% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.