Tennis · Challenger Maia · 11/10, 14:00
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Guilherme Valdoleiros
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Guilherme Valdoleiros
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
9-1 (W-L)
Guilherme Valdoleiros
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Patrick Schoen
1–0
Guilherme Valdoleiros
(1 last)
- 16 Sept2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1589 · Guilherme Valdoleiros 1407
| Patrick Schoen | Guilherme Valdoleiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1589 vs 1407).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Patrick Schoen 1–0 Guilherme Valdoleiros (1).
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Guilherme Valdoleiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-6.8 | 6.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Patrick Schoen 1 – 0 Guilherme Valdoleiros (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patrick Schoen 1–0 Guilherme Valdoleiros
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 M25 Sintra | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Guilherme Valdoleiros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Blu Baker M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Daniel Marincas M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Porto |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Guilherme Valdoleiros?
Our model gives 84% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.