Tennis · Challenger Maia · 11/10, 15:30
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Milos Karol
Team pages: Dali Blanch · Milos Karol
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Milos Karol
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
5-5 (W-L)
Milos Karol
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1491 · Milos Karol 1495
| Dali Blanch | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dali Blanch dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Note: Dali Blanch makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Milos Karol makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.3 | 12.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 11.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jan Chlodnicki Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/08 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Milos Karol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Andrej Martin Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Milos Karol?
Our model gives 57% to Dali Blanch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.