Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 12/10, 17:30
Prediction: Elena Goodman vs Tricia Mar
Team pages: Elena Goodman · Tricia Mar
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Goodman
Tricia Mar
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Goodman
7-3 (W-L)
Tricia Mar
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Goodman 1529 · Tricia Mar 1410
| Elena Goodman | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Goodman (rating 1529 vs 1410).
- Elena Goodman is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Elena Goodman | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.4 | 8.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Goodman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Ellie Gyuro UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | Abigail Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Natalie Kha W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kelly Keller W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Tricia Mar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Dania Deaifi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Matilde Magrini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Kate Fakih UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Goodman vs Tricia Mar?
Our model gives 64% to Elena Goodman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.