Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 10/10, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandra Mazzola vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Team pages: Alessandra Mazzola · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandra Mazzola
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandra Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandra Mazzola 1538 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1587
| Alessandra Mazzola | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1538 vs 1587).
Statistics
| Alessandra Mazzola | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.6 | 12-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 51.2% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Dunja Maric W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federica Trevisan W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Iva Ivanova W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandra Mazzola vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 67% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.