Tennis · Challenger Braga · 09/10, 15:30
Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
6-4 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vilius Gaubas
0–1
Luka Mikrut
(1 last)
- 05 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1490 · Luka Mikrut 1617
| Vilius Gaubas | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1490 vs 1617).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vilius Gaubas 0–1 Luka Mikrut (1).
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.2 | 13.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Vilius Gaubas 0 – 1 Luka Mikrut (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilius Gaubas 0–1 Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Challenger Braga | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Hamad Medjedovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kilian Feldbausch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 67% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.