Tennis · Challenger Braga · 09/10, 14:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marvin Moeller
2–0
Matej Dodig
(2 last)
- 15 Aug2-0 12-6W
- 08 Jul2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1549 · Matej Dodig 1591
| Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1549 vs 1591).
- Head-to-head: Marvin Moeller 2–0 Matej Dodig (2).
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.4 | 14.1-11 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 78% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Marvin Moeller 2 – 0 Matej Dodig (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marvin Moeller 2–0 Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Challenger Hamburg | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07/23 ITF M15 Sofia | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Zverev Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 60% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.