Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Alexander Weis
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Alexander Weis
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Alexander Weis
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Weis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1525 · Alexander Weis 1516
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 9.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Oscar Blardone M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 58% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.