Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Giovanni Oradini
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Giovanni Oradini
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Giovanni Oradini
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Giovanni Oradini
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Michalski
3–0
Giovanni Oradini
(3 last)
- 08 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 25 Sept2-0 12-6W
- 28 Oct2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1609 · Giovanni Oradini 1522
| Daniel Michalski | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1609 vs 1522).
- Giovanni Oradini dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 50.1% break avg.
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Michalski 3–0 Giovanni Oradini (3).
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.5 | 12.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Daniel Michalski 3 – 0 Giovanni Oradini (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Michalski 3–0 Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09/24 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Alessandro Bellifemine M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Kody Pearson Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Giovanni Oradini?
Our model gives 69% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.