Tennis · Challenger Braga · 08/10, 14:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Nijboer
1–1
Marvin Moeller
(2 last)
- 30 Apr0-1 9-12L
- 18 Apr2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1566 · Marvin Moeller 1543
| Ryan Nijboer | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.2 | 12.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Ryan Nijboer 1 – 1 Marvin Moeller (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Nijboer 1–1 Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/25 M25 Sabadell | 0-1 | 9-12 | L |
| 18/04/25 M15 Antalya | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Pierre Delage M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Cedric Stanke M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Iannis Miletich Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 57% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.