Tennis · Challenger Braga · 08/10, 11:00

Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Max Alcala Gurri

Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Max Alcala Gurri

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Patrick Schoen Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen 9-1 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWW
Max Alcala Gurri 8-2 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1640 · Max Alcala Gurri 1618
Patrick SchoenMax Alcala Gurri
Our model53%47%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Patrick SchoenMax Alcala Gurri
Win %100%80%
Win % · Clay 100% (3) 89% (9)
Sets (G-P)2-0.21.7-0.6
Games (G-P)13.1-7.112-8.3
Aces3.70.7
Double faults1.41.7
1st serve %74.4%64.4%
Break %55.2%46.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrick Schoen

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
05/10 Filip Misolic
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
04/10 Alberto Barroso Campos
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/09 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-4 W
19/09 Tiago Cacao
M25 Sintra
2-0 14-10 W
18/09 Robin Bertrand
M25 Sintra
2-1 14-12 W
17/09 Salvador Monteiro
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-3 W
16/09 Guilherme Valdoleiros
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-3 W
13/09 Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-10 W
12/09 Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra
2-1 17-15 W

Max Alcala Gurri

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Dali Blanch
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/09 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/09 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/09 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
10/09 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 19-15 W
08/09 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
02/09 Facundo Mena
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 8-12 L
25/08 Zsombor Piros
US Open · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Max Alcala Gurri?

Our model gives 58% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.