Tennis · M25 Darwin · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Colin Sinclair
Team pages: Hayden Jones · Colin Sinclair
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayden Jones
Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Colin Sinclair
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hayden Jones
1–0
Colin Sinclair
(1 last)
- 09 Nov2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1616 · Colin Sinclair 1478
| Hayden Jones | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1616 vs 1478).
- Hayden Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hayden Jones 1–0 Colin Sinclair (1).
Statistics
| Hayden Jones | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.4 | 12.7-13.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 9.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Hayden Jones 1 – 0 Colin Sinclair (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hayden Jones 1–0 Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Challenger Brisbane | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Makoto Ochi M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/09 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Chen Dong M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Zijiang Yang M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/09 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Colin Sinclair?
Our model gives 63% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.