Tennis · M25 Darwin · 10/10, 09:00
Prediction: Zane Stevens vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Zane Stevens · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Zane Stevens
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zane Stevens
8-2 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zane Stevens
1–1
Casey Hoole
(2 last)
- 19 Aug1-2 11-16L
- 03 Aug2-1 16-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zane Stevens 1549 · Casey Hoole 1572
| Zane Stevens | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 41.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Zane Stevens | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.2 | 14.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Zane Stevens 1 – 1 Casey Hoole (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zane Stevens 1–1 Casey Hoole
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/08/26 UTR Pro Brisbane | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zane Stevens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Petar Jovic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Casey Hoole
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zane Stevens vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 64% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.