Tennis · M25 Darwin · 09/10, 09:00
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Zane Stevens
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Zane Stevens
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Zane Stevens
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Zane Stevens
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jake Delaney
1–0
Zane Stevens
(1 last)
- 24 Jul2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1509 · Zane Stevens 1542
| Jake Delaney | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 12.2 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jake Delaney 1–0 Zane Stevens (1).
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 11.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 12.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Jake Delaney 1 – 0 Zane Stevens (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jake Delaney 1–0 Zane Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/24 UTR Pro Craigieburn | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Zane Stevens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Petar Jovic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Zane Stevens?
Our model gives 63% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.