Tennis · M25 Darwin · 09/10, 09:00
Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Moerani Bouzige · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Moerani Bouzige
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige
4-6 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moerani Bouzige
1–2
Casey Hoole
(3 last)
- 29 Sept1-2 15-18L
- 19 Dec2-0 13-9W
- 21 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1493 · Casey Hoole 1592
| Moerani Bouzige | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1493 vs 1592).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Moerani Bouzige 1–2 Casey Hoole (3).
Statistics
| Moerani Bouzige | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.5 | 14.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Moerani Bouzige 1 – 2 Casey Hoole (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moerani Bouzige 1–2 Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 M25 Darwin | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/12/24 ITF M15 Tauranga | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moerani Bouzige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Jesse Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Stefan Storch M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Arthur Weber M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Florent Bax M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Aniketh Venkataraman M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Casey Hoole
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 63% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.