Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Giorgio Tabacco vs Andrey Chepelev
Team pages: Giorgio Tabacco · Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Giorgio Tabacco
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Giorgio Tabacco
6-4 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgio Tabacco 1535 · Andrey Chepelev 1543
| Giorgio Tabacco | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giorgio Tabacco | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.8 | 10.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 17/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Max Basing M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andrey Chepelev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Michiel de Krom M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Alessandro Battiston M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgio Tabacco vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 51% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.