Tennis · M25 Darwin · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Zane Stevens vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Zane Stevens · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Zane Stevens
Derek Pham
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Zane Stevens
7-3 (W-L)
Derek Pham
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zane Stevens 1525 · Derek Pham 1540
| Zane Stevens | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Zane Stevens | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.2 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 71% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zane Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Petar Jovic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zane Stevens vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 59% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.