Tennis · Challenger Braga · 08/10, 11:00
Prediction: Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Miguel Damas · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Damas
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Damas
6-4 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Damas 1531 · Matej Dodig 1572
| Miguel Damas | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1531 vs 1572).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 49.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Miguel Damas | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.3 | 13.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 79.6% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Johan Nikles Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Zverev Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 68% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.