Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Dimitar Kisimov
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Dimitar Kisimov
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Dimitar Kisimov
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Dimitar Kisimov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1516 · Dimitar Kisimov 1602
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Dimitar Kisimov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kisimov (rating 1516 vs 1602).
- Dimitar Kisimov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Dimitar Kisimov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12 | 11.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Dimitar Kisimov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jadon Price M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Dimitar Kisimov?
Our model gives 64% to Dimitar Kisimov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.