Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Mikhailova vs Sophie Luescher
Team pages: Maria Mikhailova · Sophie Luescher
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Mikhailova
Sophie Luescher
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Mikhailova
4-6 (W-L)
Sophie Luescher
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Mikhailova 1462 · Sophie Luescher 1540
| Maria Mikhailova | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1462 vs 1540).
- Sophie Luescher is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Mikhailova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Sophie Luescher makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Mikhailova | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.4 | 12.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Mikhailova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Melissa Boyden W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Leonie Rabl W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sophie Luescher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Nala Kovacic W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Meline Lataste W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aurora Zurmuehle W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Patricia Ordonez Anduiza W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Marine Szostak W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Mikhailova vs Sophie Luescher?
Our model gives 77% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.