Tennis · M25 Darwin · 08/10, 07:00

Prediction: Chen Dong vs Stefan Vujic

Team pages: Chen Dong · Stefan Vujic

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Chen Dong Stefan Vujic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Stefan Vujic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1505 · Stefan Vujic 1471
Chen DongStefan Vujic
Our model55%45%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Chen DongStefan Vujic
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-10.811.5-12.2
Aces2.410.6
Double faults1.21.7
1st serve %63%77.3%
Break %44.1%31.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chen Dong

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Darwin
2-1 14-14 W
01/10 Colin Sinclair
M25 Darwin
0-2 10-13 L
30/09 Makoto Ochi
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
09/09 Dev Javia
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Manish Sureshkumar
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/09 Adrian Arcon
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Brisbane
2-1 15-12 W
21/07 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Brisbane
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane
0-2 10-13 L

Stefan Vujic

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Nikolas Baker
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
30/09 Colin Sinclair
M25 Darwin
1-2 14-18 L
16/09 Yue Xia
M25 Guiyang
0-2 9-13 L
10/09 Yuquan Jin
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
09/09 Wenze Li
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Zak Talic
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Tristan McCormick
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 18-17 L
13/08 Dan Added
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 8-13 L
11/08 Aryan Shah
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Nicolas Jadoun
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Stefan Vujic?

Our model gives 52% to Chen Dong, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.