Tennis · M25 Darwin · 08/10, 07:00
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Tai Leonard Sach
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Tai Leonard Sach
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Tai Leonard Sach
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Tai Leonard Sach
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1580 · Tai Leonard Sach 1493
| Casey Hoole | Tai Leonard Sach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1580 vs 1493).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Tai Leonard Sach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-11 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tai Leonard Sach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Darcy Nicholls M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Thanh Minh Truong Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Seongwoo Cho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Tai Leonard Sach?
Our model gives 58% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.